Economy National PL

Premier League casino – who will pay for the losses

An interesting comment from Mike T. this morning on Macquarie, the australian bank who financed PL clubs growth got me thinking about the economics of the PL.

Their chances (and those of the other lenders against upcoming revenue) to recover their money seems slim. And now even the governement says the games should be broadcast to all, which will dent the whole revenue model more.
Now broadcasters seem to be arguing that because games don’t ake place at set times days and times, they need not pay.
o they may move any game around whenever they wish, yet force majeure does not apply to them.
Just think about the underlying logic. All fans are starved for games. They won’t be able to go see the games. Do you expect they’ll tune in or not ?
So maybe advertising revenue may end up higher as more spectators are expected, so broadcasters may get some of their revenue after all ?
I can bet you the restart of the Bundesliga will be an event as watched as the kickoff to a World Cup.

So I guess they are just looking for a way out of paying. One wonders how come all the MBA’s and high priced lawyers of the Premier League, the richest in the world, did not include some force majeure clause….but this is another story. My opinion is that the Premier League is riddled with incompetence, within and around it : all of football in England is a play ground of incompetent people.

To me, some of these clubs or their owners have wanted to play poker or roulette. Or probably most of them
Some came to the table with a cartload of money and with wealth that guarantees they won’d have to leave the PL asino anytime soon.
Others wanted to join the club at all costs and set up a venture to do just that. Suffice to look at the owners of PL and Championship clubs to see that.
And most bet way above their means. So, now they’ll have to leave the table. And the clubs will tumble into lower leagues or go bankrupt.
I have no problem with a viable (and correctly run) company getting governement help. But these casino players, well, the taxpaying citizen does not have to be asked to finance their seat at the table.
Some billionnaire does not have the means or does not want to keep on spending on his club ? Tough luck them. He sells it, or goes bankrupt and faces all consequences.
And if the finances were not well managed, too much risk taken, well the guys who signed need to pay for their errors as any small business owner has to do.Laws ought to apply to all.
And the last time I checked, the Premier League is in no way systemic, is it ?

Sure, the players, employees will have a problem. But this happens when any company goes bankrupt and we don’t see much of a report in the press about them, do we ?
Personnaly, I’d be more worried about the staff, their wages are ‘normal’, they have the most to lose. Players ? Well, they took on the career, they chose the clubs they play for, they earned generally way more money then any of us, so in no way are they worse off.
In the end, it ought to be a survival of the fittest situation

And if the PL ends up with 10 teams ? Well they’ll play each other 4 times in a season and over the ensuing years, some Championship teams may come up based on finances and results. Would broadcasters be against showing Liverpool- United 4 times a year ? I don’t believe so.

As for broadcasters losses, well, tough luck guys. You are the ones who accepted to pay more, who took risks, who have the university degrees present on the management floor of your corporate buildings, who hire the expensive lawyers and consultants. Sue them and leave us alone. Why should we care at all, after all the examples of you not respecting the fan in the stadium and the paying subscriber ?

In a time when a recession is starting that looks like it will hurt many, when the health system of the country is in dire straits, any idea of the governement coming out to save casino players sounds obscene to me. Privatising profit and mutualising losses accross the country is not acceptable. Banks did get away with it, arguing they were ‘systemic relevant’. I can’t think how the Premier League or the FA would be classified in the systemic relevant category.

One solution out of this mess may be to transfer all clubs who go bust into some ‘Bad club fund’.
Said fund would pay the ‘little people’ owed by the club and look for buyers.
Anyone wanting to ‘buy’ the club would have, in return for use of the ground, the brand, the name, etc. to repay the fund for a number of years, covering what was owed and interest.
Who knows, maybe the clubs’ own fans may be interested in crowdsourcing a restart-
This way, there is no need to come up with hundreds of millions in one shot, but with a plan that makes sense, a competent management team and a vision.
The funds that would be invested would be vetted so as to avoid mafia or autocratic like takeovers.

But then again, such a scenario would need a will to solve the problem and competent people preparing for it and actually running it. Which I don’t think the PL nor the FA has shown as having available.

Just an idea, but why would it not be possible to apply to football recipes that worked for another casino like industry : the banking system ?

However, at some point, survival of the fittest still must apply, and frankly, I do hope it will.

Legal National PL Reffymandering

Why do Liverpool keep getting the same referees?

Why do Liverpool keep getting the same referees?

You will be aware that Untold has held strong views about the PGMO, how they keep appointing the same referees over and over again and how they continually fail to have sufficient referees for the PL.

So far this season the PGMO have utilised all the 17 referees on their ‘Select list’ and, in addition, four more have done one game each.  Of those on the Select list eight have done 20 games or more whilst three have done fewer than 10 games.  It looks to me like there are only eight referees really trusted.  If the other nine are allowed to do games for some teams why not all of them?

But either they are competent or not, and surely all of the teams in the PL deserve an equal standard of refereeing.  I am sick to death of seeing Atkinson, Dean, Kavanagh, Tierney and Attwell.  I wouldn’t mind too much if I felt they were all 100% competent but they all show that they are at best erratic and at worst downright strange in their decision making.

It’s not only Arsenal that is affected by repeat refereeing though.

The runaway leaders Liverpool have only seen 11 referees.  Anthony Taylor has done most matches with  (plus another 2 as Video Referee).  To date no other club has had a referee six times.  Paul Tierney has been involved the most (9 matches) if we include his appearances as fourth official as well as Video referee – he has been involved in 30% of the Liverpool games.  Oliver, Taylor and Moss have also been involved in over a quarter of their games with six, Marriner and Pawson have been involved in over a fifth of Liverpool’s games.

Liverpool As Referee As 4th Official As Video ref Total Involvement Involvement % of games played
Michael Oliver 6 0 2 8 27.6%
Anthony Taylor 4 3 1 8 27.6%
Paul Tierney 2 1 6 9 31.0%
Craig Pawson 1 1 4 6 20.7%
Martin Atkinson 3 0 1 4 13.8%
Chris Kavanagh 3 0 1 4 13.8%
Jon Moss 3 4 1 8 27.6%
Andre Marriner 3 1 3 7 24.1%

Sheffield United have had the joint most referees with 16, they also have the fewest serial visitors with two, but even with them things are odd.  They have had both David Coote (total 11 matches in the PL) and Simon Hooper (9 matches) on four occasions – 40% of the total games the two of them have been in charge of.

As we keep saying the numbers don’t give a lot of confidence that match fixing in the PL can’t occur.  The practices in place don’t appear to be sufficient to preclude the possibility of outside influences affecting results.

Here are the total matches allocated to each of the PL referees this season:

 

Games including matchweek 29

(7-9/03/20)

Martin Atkinson 25
Anthony Taylor 23
Michael Oliver 23
Mike Dean 22
Paul Tierney 20
Kevin Friend 20
Chris Kavanagh 20
Jonathan Moss 20
Andre Marriner 17
Craig Pawson 15
Graham Scott 15
Stuart Attwell 15
Lee Mason 13
David Coote 11
Simon Hooper 9
Peter Bankes 7
Andy Madley 9
Oliver Langford 1
Robert Jones 1
Darren England 1
Tim Robinson 1

The next question to ask is “is this situation common across the other European Leagues? »  With a little digging and using data readily available on the internet here are comparable figures for total games across the other 4 major European leagues:-

Germany – Bundesliga

Referees Total games (to 23/2/20)
Dr. Felix Brych 12
Tobias Stieler 12
Markus Schmidt 11
Felix Zwayer 11
Daniel Siebert 11
Marco Fritz 11
Manuel Gräfe 10
Deniz Aytekin 10
Bastian Dankert 10
Harm Osmers 10
Sascha Stegemann 10
Christian Dingert 9
Frank Willenborg 9
Benjamin Cortus 9
Sven Jablonski 9
Patrick Ittrich 8
Daniel Schlager 8
Martin Petersen 7
Guido Winkmann 6
Dr. Robert Kampka 6
Robert Hartmann 6
Robert Schröder 6
Sören Storks 5
Tobias Welz 4
Bibiana Steinhaus 4

So in a smaller league, we have 25 referees used, one female (Bibiana Steinhaus), none more than 12 times and none  fewer than four.

Spain – La Liga

Referees Total games (to 23/2/20)
Antonio Miguel Matéu Lahoz 14
Estrada Fernández 14
Mario Melero López 14
Jesús Gil Manzano 14
Adrián Cordero Vega 14
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández 14
Javier Alberola Rojas 14
Juan Martínez Munuera 13
Medié Jiménez 13
César Soto Grado 13
José María Sánchez Martínez 13
Valentin Pizarro Gomez 13
Pablo González Fuertes 13
José Luis Munuera Montero 13
Carlos Del Cerro Grande 12
Eduardo Prieto Iglesias 12
González González 11
Santiago Jaime Latre 11
De Burgos Bengoetxea 11
Andrés Hernández 7
Alejandro Hernández 6

21 referees, all engaged in between 14 and 6 matches

Italy – Serie A

Referee Total games (to 23/2/20)
Maurizio Mariani 14
Rosario Abisso 13
Federico La Penna 13
Davide Massa 13
Marco Di Bello 12
Daniele Doveri 12
Daniele Orsato 12
Gianluca Rocchi 12
Gianpaolo Calvarese 11
Daniele Chiffi 11
Piero Giacomelli 11
Marco Guida 11
Fabio Maresca 11
Fabrizio Pasqua 11
Marco Piccinini 11
Michael Fabbri 10
Antonio Giua 10
Massimiliano Irrati 10
Luca Pairetto 10
Paolo Valeri 10
Gianluca Manganiello 9
Eugenio Abbattista 2
Juan Luca Sacchi 2
Manuel Volpi 2
Gianluca Aureliano 1
Giovanni Ayroldi 1
Francesco Fourneau 1
Livio Marinelli 1
Alessandro Prontera 1
Riccardo Ros 1
Simone Sozza 1

21 referees with between 14 and 9 matches with a further10 used for either 1 or 2 matches each

Finally France – Ligue 1

Name Matches to date
Antony Gautier 16
Hakim Ben El Hadj 15
Ruddy Buquet 15
Willy Delajod 15
Johan Hamel 14
Frank Schneider 14
Jérôme Brisard 13
Amaury Delerue 13
Mikael Lesage 13
François Letexier 13
Karim Abed 12
Florent Batta 12
Thomas Leonard 12
Jérémy Stinat 12
Clément Turpin 12
Eric Wattellier 12
Benoît Bastien 11
Jérémie Pignard 11
Olivier Thual 11
Stéphanie Frappart 10
Benoît Millot 9
Jérôme Miguelgorry 4
Alain Bieri 1

23 Referees in total, one female (Stéphanie Frappart) and Alain Bieri is Swiss not French.  With he and Migulgorry excepted all between 16 and 9 games.

So we can clearly see that the UK pattern of refereeing is out of kilter with all of the other major leagues in Europe.  Our busiest referee has done 25 matches as against 16 in France, 14 in Spain and Italy and 12 in Germany.

All of the other leagues have more referees and the individual workload is far more evenly spread between them than is the case in England.

The more one looks at the data the odder it appears.